What does the problem analysis triangle do for officers?

Analysis is the second step of problem solving. It follows the scanning stage. It involves systematic study into the causes and conditions that enable problems to persist.

Problem solving does not require you to identify and address all of the causes that give rise to your selected problem.

Effective problem analysis is about analysing a problem to identify pinch points.

Pinch points are causes and conditions that contribute to a problem and are open to preventative intervention by the police and partners.

The goal of problem analysis is to help you identify an appropriate and effective response that is based on those pinch points and can be delivered within the resources of your organisation.

Effective problem solving is finding pinch points that can be changed by responses that can be implemented in a reasonable time frame and which also have a sustained impact.

Having defined your local homicide problem and identified its common characteristics through scanning, you can progress to analysis. Analysis helps you to understand the causes of your problem by using available data to identify the circumstances that are generating or maintaining it.

There are many causes of homicide. It’s often not feasible for the police to influence:

  • long-term macro-level drivers of homicide, such as demographics or inequality
  • meso-level factors, such as an age group's alcohol consumption

But intervening in many of the short-term micro-level factors often sits in the police remit. In setting your analysis goals, it’s therefore useful to aim for micro-level factors, which tend to manifest at the individual, interpersonal and community levels.

A common term in the problem-solving literature is identifying and your analysis is aiming to identify these. A pinch point is a causal factor in homicide that can reasonably be addressed through policing practice. It’s a common event or circumstance that’s present in or precedes most of these incidents. This might be an event that increases an individual’s vulnerability or a predictable/scheduled removal of a safeguard or a failure of that system.

Problem analysis triangle

The problem analysis triangle provides you with a framework to begin to break down your crime problem and work out which elements are most open to intervention.

Many, if not most, of the criminological theories focus on what makes people criminals. Some of these theories find causes of criminality in such factors as child-rearing practices, genetic makeup, and psychological or social processes. These theories are very difficult to test, are of varying and unknown scientific validity, and yield ambiguous policy implications that are mostly beyond the reach of police practice (Eck and Clarke, 2005). But crime analysts have found that the theories and concepts of environmental criminology are very helpful in understanding crime patterns and crime trends and formulating strategies for solutions. This is because the theories and concepts of environmental criminology deal with the immediate situational causes of crime events, including temptations, opportunities, and inadequate protection of targets. Crime analysts will typically be stronger members of the problem-oriented team if they are familiar with these concepts.

The problem analysis triangle (also known as the crime triangle) comes from one of the main theories of environmental criminology—routine activities theory. This theory, originally formulated by Lawrence Cohen and Marcus Felson (and previously discussed in this book), states that predatory crime occurs when a likely offender and suitable target come together in time and place, without a capable guardian present. It takes the existence of a likely offender for granted since normal human greed and selfishness are sufficient explanations of most criminal motivation. It makes no distinction between a human victim and an inanimate target since both can meet the offender’s purpose. And it defines a capable guardian in terms of both human actors and security devices. This formulation led to the original problem analysis triangle, with the three sides representing the offender, the target, and the location or place (see inner triangle of the figure).

What does the problem analysis triangle do for officers?

By directing attention to the three major components of any problem, the inner triangle helps to ensure that an analysis covers all three. Police are used to thinking about a problem in terms of the offenders involved; the usual focus is almost exclusively on how to identify and arrest them. But problem-oriented policing requires exploring a broader range of factors, and this requires information about the victims and the places involved.

The latest formulation of the problem analysis triangle adds an outer triangle of “controllers” for each of the three original elements (see figure):

What is the problem analysis triangle?

Problem analysis triangle For a crime or incident to occur, an offender and a suitable target must come together in a specific location without an effective deterrent. The figure below shows how these three elements – victim, offender and location – form the problem analysis triangle.

Which is a problem solving model used by police?

Under the most widely adopted police problem-solving model—the SARA (Scanning, Analysis, Response, Assessment) model—the process of identifying and defining policing problems is referred to as the Scanning phase.

Why is the crime triangle important?

The crime triangle offers an easy way to visualize and understand crime problems. Three things must exist in order to have a crime: an offender, a victim, and a location. Lacking any one of these, a crime will not occur.

What are the three factors in the crime triangle and why are they important to crime prevention?

The Crime Triangle identifies three factors that create a criminal offense. Desire of a criminal to commit a crime; Target of the criminal's desire; and the Opportunity for the crime to be committed. You can break up the Crime Triangle by not giving the criminal the Opportunity.